Uncertainty around the real-time output gap has important implications for fiscal policy. This study uses successive vintages of the World Economic Outlook for emerging markets (EMs) during 1998-2022 ...

"Strong real growth has not been accompanied by inflationary pressure. Private Final Consumption Expenditure has risen to 61.5% of GDP in FY26 — the highest share in over a decade — yet there are no ...

The economy's ups and downs are not abstract curves on a chart, they are the backdrop for your job security, mortgage rate, investment returns and even how long your emergency fund lasts. When I talk ...

Economic cycles feature expansion, peak, contraction, and trough stages. Investors adjust strategies based on the current economic phase. Government tools like interest rates help manage these cycles.

An inflationary gap can occur due to increased consumer spending. Learn how it’s calculated and what affects it.

TOKYO, Dec 26 (Reuters) - Japan's government said on Thursday it predicts economic output will recover to full capacity in the next fiscal year for the first time in seven years on an annual basis due ...